Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001442 0.001530 0.001621 0.001722 0.001831 0.001945 0.002073
2025-02-16 0.001347 0.001477 0.001615 0.001775 0.001955 0.002153 0.002386
2025-02-23 0.001246 0.001399 0.001567 0.001767 0.002001 0.002265 0.002590
2025-03-02 0.001147 0.001311 0.001496 0.001723 0.001995 0.002311 0.002710
2025-03-09 0.001072 0.001245 0.001445 0.001693 0.001998 0.002362 0.002834
2025-03-16 0.001023 0.001205 0.001418 0.001690 0.002030 0.002446 0.002999
2025-03-23 0.000973 0.001160 0.001383 0.001673 0.002041 0.002501 0.003127
2025-03-30 0.000934 0.001126 0.001360 0.001666 0.002064 0.002570 0.003274
2025-04-06 0.000891 0.001086 0.001325 0.001643 0.002063 0.002606 0.003377
2025-04-13 0.000851 0.001046 0.001289 0.001617 0.002055 0.002632 0.003466
2025-04-20 0.000802 0.000993 0.001234 0.001562 0.002006 0.002599 0.003470
2025-04-27 0.000784 0.000981 0.001230 0.001574 0.002048 0.002690 0.003652
2025-05-04 0.000765 0.000967 0.001226 0.001590 0.002099 0.002803 0.003881
2025-05-11 0.000762 0.000974 0.001250 0.001645 0.002208 0.003003 0.004253
2025-05-18 0.000737 0.000950 0.001232 0.001640 0.002230 0.003080 0.004444
2025-05-25 0.000701 0.000911 0.001191 0.001600 0.002201 0.003078 0.004511
2025-06-01 0.000672 0.000880 0.001159 0.001573 0.002188 0.003099 0.004615
2025-06-08 0.000653 0.000862 0.001145 0.001570 0.002210 0.003174 0.004810
2025-06-15 0.000631 0.000839 0.001123 0.001554 0.002211 0.003216 0.004951
2025-06-22 0.000614 0.000821 0.001109 0.001548 0.002228 0.003281 0.005136
2025-06-29 0.000593 0.000798 0.001085 0.001527 0.002219 0.003306 0.005251
2025-07-06 0.000572 0.000775 0.001059 0.001503 0.002204 0.003320 0.005348
2025-07-13 0.000545 0.000741 0.001018 0.001453 0.002145 0.003259 0.005306